Worldwide Threat Assessment Unclassified Record

by Administrator 13. February 2012 08:09

 

If you didn’t hear about it, the US Intelligence Community provided the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence with testimony pertaining to a Worldwide Threat Assessment.  Those of you who protect others for a living, especially those of you who travel internationally, support a multi-national corporation or who are just interested in keeping your fingers on that particular pulse may be interested in reading the Unclassified Record of that assessment.  It is posted at: http://www.dni.gov/testimonies/20120131_testimony_ata.pdf 

Review of this testimony indicates a world full of turmoil and some interesting analysis on a post UBL world, the impact of the Arab Spring and what we are apparently now calling Homegrown Violent Extremists (HVEs).  Like we didn’t have enough acronyms to try and remember these days, right?  It is interesting reading and current events that is relevant to all of us.

 

My Thoughts on the Somali Pirate Situation

by Administrator 25. February 2011 02:48
As many folks know by now the killing of the people on the Quest by Somali pirates as the US Navy and the FBI negotiated for their release is very regrettable.  The New York Times printed an article, referenced by yesterday's Security Management Daily newsletter, titled: Seizing of Pirate Commanders Is Questioned.  As the US Navy and the FBI attempted to deal with this hostage taking situation they were reportedly unable to talk with land pirate commanders / co-conspirators.  So working through their way down the list of options available to them they got to the point where they maneuvered a ship closer to the yacht to attempt "face to face" negotiations.  A couple of pirates were brought aboard and eventually a decision was made to detain them as they didn't appear to be negotiating in good faith and the negotiator(s) attempted to open dialog with someone within that group that could negotiate on behalf of the kidnapping pirates and who had the authority to negotiate in good faith.  That's probably a more common circumstance than is publically known.  I would imagine it is akin to negotiating with prisoners after a prison riot.  The negotiators have to work their way through various factions to find a leader who can exercise authority over the rest of the criminals.

Now here's my point to this whole thing.  Actually, there's a couple of them.  1) the folks aboard the yacht were apparently sailing in a group prior to being taken over and consciously made a decision to break off from that group and sail into waters known to contain great risk of encountering Somali pirates.  So they chose to be there doing that.  That was their choice to make and they made it.  It would seem they had either a great tolerance for risk or underestimated their either their ability to fend off pirates or their chances of encountering them.  Whatever the reason, they apparently made a bad choice.  2) Somali pirates are criminals  and there is no such thing as honor among thieves.   But the New York Times doesn't note any of that, they just seem to want to paint the US Navy and the FBI in a bad light and since they don't cite who is calling the detention of those pirate commanders into question we are left to believe it is the New York Times themselves.  Great, let's blame the folks who volunteer to put themselves into harm's way and protect others, willingly move towards the sound of gun fire and take on the challenge of dealing with very dangerous and dynamic situations, often having to make snap decisions that the arm chair quarterbacks sitting back home in air conditioned offices worrying about the price of gas can call into question while sipping on a vanilla latte. 

One quote in the article does at least provide some insight into the issue:   “While the pirates clearly knew, from the beginning of our negotiations, that we were not going to allow the Quest to make shore, they gave no warning, no visible signs whatsoever that the hostages’ lives were in danger,” said the military official. The senior law enforcement official added, “These incidents, by their very nature, often move at a rapid pace which requires difficult decisions in real time.”

Whoever those military and senior law enforcement officers are, they phrased their position well.  How about let's blame those who committed the crime and urge people not to put themselves at unreasonable risk that will eventually cause those that volunteer to put themselves in harm's way to have to put themselves into harm's way to get the victims of that piracy industry out of hock. 

At ITG, we'll send gratitude to the US Navy, the US Navy SEALS who boarded that yacht and took control and the FBI negotiators all of whom are far away from home and who have volunteered to put themselves in harm's way.  Apparently, one of the SEALS even had a hand to hand combat situation and came out on top in a knife fight!  I don't know that SEAL and he can't see me right now but this Old Soldier is standing at attention and presenting arms to that SEAL and his team, the US Navy and the FBI, none of whom could even get near a vanilla latte.

You can also bet that all of those groups, the SEALS, the Navy task force and the FBI are doing after action reviews and picking the operation apart to see if there are any lessons learned that they can apply the next time they have to put themselves in harm's way to get some pirate victims out of hock. 

I bet that the New York Times isn't doing an after action review to figure out why they blame that group publically for the outcome and not the criminals  that committed the crime. Frankly, I think that article, though not the worst of breed, illustrates what's wrong with some of the media in this country and not what's wrong with the FBI.  To read the article yourself go to: 


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International News | US News

Warnings of Domestic Terrorist Threats

by Administrator 10. February 2011 08:53
Today's Security Management Daily blast had a reference to an article about "Officials
Warn of Domestic Terrorism."  In the article, "Officials such as Homeland Security
Secretary Janet Napolitano said that the heightened threat level is the result of the rise
of lone-wolf extremists in the United States who have little or no formal connection to
terrorist groups like al-Qaida."

Ummm, yep - confirms exactly what we've been saying for a while now but it is somewhat
disappointing that neither the article nor the "officials" went deeper into their analysis
nor did we note an acknowledgement of the power of the internet in spreading information
that these "lone wolf" actors can use.

For more on the article, go to:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703716904576134373186541808.html#articleTabs
%3Darticle

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US News

NYPD's Lessons Learned From Tucson-Style Shootings - Metropolis - WSJ

by Administrator 24. January 2011 07:32
The Security Management Daily Newsletter referenced an article about NYPD officials giving
an analysis of active shooter scenarios that have taken place over the last 45 years and
referenced the latest attack in Tucson, AZ that is being so widely publicized.  Some
interesting statistics here:  they says that 46% of those attacks were stopped when law
enforcement officers or bystanders used force against the attacker.  It seems that the
NYPD is advocating establishing safe rooms and stocks of medical supplies be establish at
corporations and other public places where this kind of thing can happen.

Then this quote caught my attention: "The police captain said that if a confrontation with
the shooter cannot be avoided, office workers should arm themselves with whatever items
can be used as weapons - scissors, a stapler, a pen, a leg from a table - and attack the
shooter as "aggressively and violently" as they can. He said that the more people who
attack the shooter the better chance they have of stopping him."

Frankly, I concur with attacking the aggressor violently, but think the citizens of New
York City should really get behind the NRA Right to Carry and Castle Doctrine efforts,
especially reading reader comments such as these:

"Maybe the NYPD should instruct residents in Brooklyn, Harlem, the Bronx and parts of
Queens to do the same thing. Maybe a 'safe room with medical supplies' on the different
corners of Bushwick and East New York would be a good idea, too. After all, it's in those
places where the bullets fly and the blood flows in the streets ON A DAILY BASIS, where
the NYC media fear to tread, and the REAL problem of shootings are taking place."

and

"Hhhhhmmmmm.".attack [the suspect] as aggressively and violently as possible." and the
fact that the majority of these attacks occur in "gun free" zones really underscores the
reality that citizens are responsible for their own safety and security. The police can
only do so much (and I'm thankful for what they do). I feel that these instances show that
law-abiding citizens should be able carry firearms..."

After all, if all you have is a stapler to go after some wacko with an extended magazine
my math says you're more likely to be another number in the perpetrators body count and
not the hero being interviewed by the media post incident.  Had just one honest person
taking advantage of Arizona's gun laws been present at that shooting, that story would
have likely ended differently.

I do agree, though, that if you are armed in such a scenario and have your weapon drawn,
do be very careful when approaching arriving law enforcement officers.  They'll be stoked
and could easily mistake you for the perpetrator upon arrival.  For more on this story see
this link:

http://blogs.wsj.com/metropolis/2011/01/20/nypds-lessons-learned-from-tucson-style-shootin
gs/?KEYWORDS=security

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US News | What We're Reading

Homeland Security Today: Violent Homegrown 'Jihadists' Discussed in Congressional Report

by Administrator 11. January 2011 03:24
A Congressional Research Service report on homegrown jihadists was updated in December and has some interesting points to ponder.  The full article published by HS Today contains a link where you can download the actual report if you want to read it.

The opening paragraph of the article reads: "A Congressional Research Service (CRS) report on homegrown jihadists updated in December stated that “violent jihadists may exhibit a number of conventional shortcomings when compared to international terrorist networks such as Al Qaeda," and that "homegrown violent jihadists ... possibly lack deep understanding of specialized tradecraft such as bomb making."

This scares me a bit as I believe it leads readers to underestimate this growing problem.  The very next paragraph reads: "Because of this" CRS stated" "they may turn to violence requiring less preparation, such as assaults using firearms."

Well, it seems to me that the terrorists using firearms (and explosives less than VBIED size) cause quite a bit of havoc in Mubai, we have seen major "active shooter" incidents across our nation that have been very hard to deal with.  So I think they're soft selling the issue a bit here.  Can't wait to read the whole report. Take a look and see what you think about the issue.
 

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International News | US News | What We're Reading

A Chilling Statistic Regarding Terrorism

by Administrator 3. January 2011 12:46

Take a look at this article and listen to the Attorney General. The fact that 50 people out of 126 that have been indicted on terrorism related charges over the past two years are Americans is a chilling statistic…

Attorney General's Blunt Warning on Terror Attacks
ABC News (12/21/10) Cloherty, Jack; Thomas, Pierre

In a recent interview with ABC News, Attorney General Eric Holder said that while he is certain that the U.S. will continue to foil terrorist attacks, terrorists only need to be successful in carrying out an attack one time. Holder added that he is not certain that there will be a successful attack against the U.S., though he said that the American people need to be prepared for that possibility. Holder also discussed the growing number of American citizens who are being radicalized by Islamic militants. Of the 126 people who have been indicted on terrorism-related charges over the past two years, Holder said, 50 have been U.S. citizens. Holder noted that many of these radicalized Americans have ties with the radical Muslim cleric Anwar Al Awlaki, who is himself a U.S. citizen. The U.S. is trying to combat the trend of Americans being radicalized by launching sting operations against them--a practice that has been controversial. However, Holder said that the targets of the sting operations have always wanted to move forward with the plots, even when given a chance to change their minds. Holder added that while sting operations are controversial, they are necessary to keep the American people safe. 

Article Link 


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